Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Parma had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Parma |
63.43% | 20.19% | 16.38% |
Both teams to score 54.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.85% | 41.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.46% | 63.54% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.66% | 12.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.85% | 38.15% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.72% | 38.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.96% | 75.04% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Parma |
2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.58% Total : 63.43% | 1-1 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.77% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-1 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.53% 1-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |