Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
64.47% | 19.35% | 16.19% |
Both teams to score 56.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.43% | 37.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.2% | 59.8% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89% | 11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.73% | 35.27% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.69% | 36.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.9% | 73.1% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 7.25% 3-0 @ 7.16% 4-1 @ 4% 4-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-2 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 4.47% Total : 64.47% | 1-1 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.99% 0-0 @ 3.99% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.35% | 1-2 @ 4.52% 0-1 @ 4.05% 0-2 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.69% 1-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.36% Total : 16.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |