Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
29.13% | 23.5% | 47.37% |
Both teams to score 60.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.82% | 41.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.43% | 63.57% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% | 26.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.86% | 62.14% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.38% | 17.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.79% | 48.21% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 7.1% 1-0 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 4.09% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.13% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-1 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 5.43% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.79% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.85% Total : 47.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |