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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee United

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Dundee Utd

Lafferty (8' pen.), Armstrong (73')
McKenzie (37'), Mayo (53'), Doidge (64'), Chrisene (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Middleton (10')
Smith (7'), Edwards (39'), Djoum (66')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ross County 1-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
54.68% (0.34699999999999 0.35) 24.08% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 21.25% (-0.398 -0.4)
Both teams to score 50.25% (-0.70800000000001 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (-0.662 -0.66)50.62% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (-0.588 -0.59)72.53% (0.589 0.59)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.12 -0.12)18.41% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.44% (-0.202 -0.2)49.56% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.776 -0.78)38.42% (0.775 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (-0.748 -0.75)75.17% (0.747 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 54.66%
    Dundee United 21.25%
    Draw 24.07%
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 11.96% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.185 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 54.66%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Dundee United
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee Utd
Taylor (90+1')
Power (47'), Taylor (83')
Levitt (43')
Harkes (49')
Harkes (71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee Utd
McKenzie (20')
McKenzie (108')
McNulty (4'), Levitt (111')
Levitt (90+3'), Butcher (98'), Watt (104')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-0
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (32', 35', 43' pen.)
Lafferty (16')

Hoti (57'), Sporle (77')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee Utd
Medley (64')
Kiltie (38')
Sporle (18')
Fuchs (45'), Smith (67'), Connolly (71'), Harkes (86')
> Match Report
Dec 23, 2020 6.30pm
Dundee Utd
2-0
Kilmarnock
McNulty (25'), McNeil (28')
Pawlett (79'), McNeil (84')

Power (70')
rhs 2.0
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