Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Partick Thistle |
27.23% ( -0.53) | 23.54% ( -0.01) | 49.23% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.36% ( -0.36) | 42.64% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.96% ( -0.36) | 65.04% ( 0.36) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% ( -0.57) | 28.92% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% ( -0.71) | 64.79% ( 0.71) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% ( 0.07) | 17.47% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.06% ( 0.12) | 47.94% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Partick Thistle |
2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.43% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 66 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 44 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 43 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 35 | 84 | -49 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |