Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Partick Thistle |
36.06% ( -0.54) | 24.81% ( 0.14) | 39.13% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 58.39% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.18% ( -0.7) | 44.82% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.82% ( -0.68) | 67.18% ( 0.67) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( -0.62) | 24.39% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.19% ( -0.88) | 58.81% ( 0.87) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( -0.11) | 22.77% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.53% ( -0.16) | 56.47% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Partick Thistle |
2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |