Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Santa Clara |
29.53% | 27.85% | 42.61% |
Both teams to score 46.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.1% | 58.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.61% | 79.38% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.29% | 35.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.52% | 72.47% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% | 27.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.2% | 62.79% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.01% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 12.65% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.87% Total : 42.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |