Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
29.59% | 27.39% | 43.02% |
Both teams to score 48.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.79% | 57.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.94% | 78.06% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% | 34.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% | 71.48% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.66% | 26.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.52% | 61.48% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.18% Total : 29.59% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |