Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
64.15% ( -0.06) | 20.46% ( 0.01) | 15.4% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.74% ( 0.07) | 44.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.37% ( 0.06) | 66.63% ( -0.06) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.92% ( 0) | 13.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.31% ( 0) | 39.69% ( -0) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.56% ( 0.11) | 41.44% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.05% ( 0.1) | 77.95% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.14% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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