Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
47.31% ( -0.61) | 25.99% ( 0.03) | 26.7% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.61% ( 0.28) | 53.38% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.07% ( 0.23) | 74.92% ( -0.23) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% ( -0.16) | 22.56% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.84% ( -0.24) | 56.15% ( 0.24) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.01% ( 0.63) | 34.99% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.26% ( 0.66) | 71.73% ( -0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 47.3% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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