Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
57.56% | 23.6% | 18.84% |
Both teams to score 48.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.32% | 51.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.54% | 73.47% |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.27% | 17.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.59% | 48.41% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.38% | 41.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.9% | 78.11% |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 12.76% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 5.58% 4-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.5% Total : 57.55% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |