Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
27.64% | 24.19% | 48.17% |
Both teams to score 56.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.72% | 45.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.38% | 67.62% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% | 29.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.9% | 66.1% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% | 18.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.61% | 50.39% |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 6.85% 1-0 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.17% Total : 27.64% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-1 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 5.26% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.26% Total : 48.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |