Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco |
33.49% ( -0.01) | 24.57% | 41.94% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.7% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( -0.01) | 44.18% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( -0.01) | 66.56% ( 0) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( -0.01) | 25.56% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% ( -0.01) | 60.43% ( 0) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.86% ( -0) | 21.14% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.01% ( -0) | 53.99% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 7.81% 1-0 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.49% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |