Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
44.81% ( 0.13) | 24.19% ( 0.14) | 31% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.63% ( -0.75) | 43.37% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.23% ( -0.74) | 65.77% ( 0.75) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.47% ( -0.25) | 19.53% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.57% ( -0.41) | 51.43% ( 0.41) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.29% ( -0.54) | 26.71% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.03% ( -0.72) | 61.97% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |