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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough are flying at the moment, and they will be aiming to record a third straight win over Norwich in Tuesday's contest. Boro won 2-1 at Carrow Road in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
35.56% (0.226 0.23) 24.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 39.49% (-0.259 -0.26)
Both teams to score 57.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)45.52% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)67.85% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.081999999999994 0.08)24.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.116 0.12)59.65% (-0.124 -0.12)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)22.9% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.253 -0.25)56.66% (0.245 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 35.56%
    Middlesbrough 39.49%
    Draw 24.94%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
32.0%
Draw
12.0%
Middlesbrough
56.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (72' pen.)
Sorensen (15')
Mar 30, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
0-1
Norwich

Ayala (33'), Obi Mikel (49'), Downing (66')
Hernandez (54')
Stiepermann (42'), Zimmermann (48'), Hernandez (54'), Trybull (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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