FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Mansfield1 - 2Wrexham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Mansfield Town 0-1 Wrexham
Sweating over the fitness of Akins and reeling from their first defeat of the season, the stage appears set for a jelly-legged Mansfield to suffer a second cup exit in a matter of days. Despite their unenviable injury list, Wrexham have been a tough nut to crack on enemy territory in recent weeks, and we believe that Parkinson's men have what it takes to shade a tight battle to book their place in round two. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Wrexham |
53.6% ( 0.32) | 23.2% ( -0.05) | 23.2% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
