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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Mansfield Town

Notts County
1 - 4
Mansfield

Crowley (3')
McGoldrick (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Reed (24'), Cargill (70'), Flint (74'), Akins (81')
Cargill (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Notts County 1-1 Mansfield Town

 Notts County have won every single home match they have played so far this season, but Mansfield Town remain undefeated in all competitions. Given that the Stags also have a very good defensive record, we do not expect Saturday's game to be a high-scoring affair, and it could end up finishing as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMansfield Town
34.49% (0.353 0.35) 23.29% (-0.023 -0.02) 42.22% (-0.325 -0.32)
Both teams to score 63.67% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.19% (0.21400000000001 0.21)37.8% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.94% (0.226 0.23)60.05% (-0.223 -0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.288 0.29)22.01% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (0.431 0.43)55.32% (-0.427 -0.43)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)18.36% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)49.48% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 34.49%
    Mansfield Town 42.22%
    Draw 23.28%
Notts CountyDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 34.49%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 42.22%

How you voted: Notts County vs Mansfield

Notts County
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Mansfield Town
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 33
Notts County
1-0
Mansfield
Mackail-Smith (19')
Stead (32'), Boldewijn (81')

Turner (6'), Mellis (59'), Pearce (85')
Dec 8, 2018 1pm
Gameweek 21
Mansfield
2-0
Notts County
Hamilton (37', 63')
Elsnik (62'), Mellis (73'), Atkinson (90')

Turley (32'), Hewitt (76'), Dennis (89')
Mar 17, 2018 1pm
Notts County
1-1
Mansfield
Hawkridge (35')
Hewitt (98')
Hemmings (99' pen.)
Atkinson (53'), Benning (73'), MacDonald (88')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
-
Notts County
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (34')
Smith (74')
Angol (1'), Hamilton (73')
Mellis (34')
Sep 30, 2017 1pm
Mansfield
3-1
Notts County
Rose (47', 59'), Duffy (63' og.)
Hemmings (60')
Dickinson (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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