Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
55.22% ( 0.31) | 25.42% ( -0.1) | 19.36% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 43.84% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.29% ( 0.09) | 57.71% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.54% ( 0.07) | 78.46% ( -0.07) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( 0.16) | 20.95% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( 0.26) | 53.69% ( -0.26) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.46% ( -0.2) | 44.54% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.43% ( -0.16) | 80.56% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 14.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |