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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Celta Vigo logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, May 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo

Neither team will enter this match in the best of form, but we are expecting Athletic to emerge victorious on Saturday afternoon. Celta could be missing their first-choice front two this weekend, which makes the Lions even bigger favourites to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
55.22% (0.314 0.31) 25.42% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 19.36% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 43.84% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (0.085999999999999 0.09)57.71% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (0.068000000000001 0.07)78.46% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.164 0.16)20.95% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.256 0.26)53.69% (-0.257 -0.26)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.46% (-0.2 -0.2)44.54% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.43% (-0.163 -0.16)80.56% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.22%
    Celta Vigo 19.36%
    Draw 25.42%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 14.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.94% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.36%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo

Athletic Bilbao
83.7%
Draw
9.3%
Celta Vigo
7.0%
43
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 19
Celta Vigo
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Aspas (71')
Tapia (36'), Nunez (81')

Alvarez (61'), Zarraga (87')
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')
Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')
Aug 28, 2021 4pm
gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Mendez (52'), Mallo (90+6')
Williams (34')
Simon (90+6')
Mar 14, 2021 1pm
gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Mina (45'), Vazquez (63'), Murillo (70'), Coudet (89')

Lekue (41')
Dec 4, 2020 8pm
gameweek 12
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Nunez (26'), Vesga (84')
Mallo (61'), Aspas (78')
Murillo (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona36247574433179
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico36234967392873
5Athletic Bilbao361711858372162
6Real Sociedad361512949371257
7Real BetisBetis36141484843556
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia36139143740-348
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Getafe371013144152-1143
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas36108183246-1438
15Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
16Celta Vigo36910174254-1237
17Mallorca36715142941-1236
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria36211233572-3717


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