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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Valencia logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Valencia

Seferovic (60')
de la Torre (27'), Veiga (41'), Carvalhal (63'), Tapia (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kluivert (8'), Mari (88')
Diakhaby (19'), Moriba (73'), Paulista (74'), Almeida (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, May 3 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Villarreal
Wednesday, May 3 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Valencia

There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match, and a win for Valencia would boost their survival hopes while pulling Celta into the battle to avoid the drop. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away win here, but we just have a feeling that the points will ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawValencia
45% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04) 27.41% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 27.59% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.87% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.83% (0.215 0.21)58.17% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (0.169 0.17)78.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.079999999999998 0.08)25.77% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.105 0.11)60.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (0.193 0.19)36.86% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.192 0.19)73.64% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 44.99%
    Valencia 27.59%
    Draw 27.41%
Celta VigoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Valencia

Celta Vigo
41.8%
Draw
25.5%
Valencia
32.7%
55
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 6
Valencia
3-0
Celta Vigo
Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
Guillamon (16')
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 38
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
gameweek 16
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 24
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')
Sep 19, 2020 8pm
gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
2-1
Valencia
Aspas (13', 57')
Tapia (25'), Yokuslu (90+2'), Villar (90+7')
Gomez (46')
Esquerdo (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Villarreal35139135960-148
9Valencia34138133739-247
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
17Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
RGranada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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