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La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 9pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Betis logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Betis


de Marcos (49')
Vivian (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jose (6')
Perez (43'), Pezzella (56'), Guardado (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Betis
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

While Athletic Bilbao have struggled for consistency on home soil in recent times, Real Betis have faltered on the road, losing each of their last three away league games. With that in mind, we expect Athletic and Betis to share the points at San Mames as both sides aim to avoid defeat and keep their respective European pushes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 15.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
62.38% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.07% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.25% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.69% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.038 0.04)72.59% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.027999999999992 0.03)15.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21% (0.049999999999997 0.05)44.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)81.04% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 62.37%
    Real Betis 15.55%
    Draw 22.07%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 62.37%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 15.55%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis

Athletic Bilbao
63.8%
Draw
23.2%
Real Betis
13.0%
69
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 6.15pm
Mar 13, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 28
Betis
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Iglesias (20')
Pezzella (25'), Miranda (28'), Ruibal (76'), Canales (80')
Fekir (80')

Berchiche (8'), Berenguer (16'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (80'), Sancet (80')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Betis
Williams (2', 72'), De Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')
Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Apr 21, 2021 7pm
gameweek 31
Betis
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Rodriguez (55'), Guardado (82'), Bravo (88')
Fekir (11')

de Marcos (43'), Nunez (90+5')
Feb 4, 2021 8pm
Quarter-finals
Betis
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao win 4-1 on penalties
Juanmi (84')
Ruibal (55'), Carvalho (83')
Garcia (90+4')
Berchiche (39'), Alvarez (42'), Garcia (48'), Martinez (53'), Lekue (72'), Garcia (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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