Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
18.84% ( 0.64) | 27.15% ( 0.58) | 54% ( -1.22) |
Both teams to score 38.96% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.27% ( -1.08) | 63.73% ( 1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17% ( -0.78) | 82.99% ( 0.78) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.27% ( 0.12) | 48.73% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.24% ( 0.09) | 83.76% ( -0.08) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% ( -1) | 24.01% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.73% ( -1.46) | 58.26% ( 1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.84% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 16.69% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 11.9% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.18% Total : 54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |