Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Northampton Town |
50.16% | 23.91% | 25.93% |
Both teams to score 56.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.66% | 45.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.33% | 67.68% |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% | 18.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.9% | 49.1% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.68% | 31.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.32% | 67.68% |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.68% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |