Accrington

1 - 0

Crewe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.