J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 6am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
Machida Zelvia3 - 1Sagan Tosu
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Sagan Tosu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Cerezo
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.
Result | ||
Machida Zelvia | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
49.69% ( 0.17) | 24.58% ( 0.02) | 25.73% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% ( -0.22) | 48.38% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( -0.2) | 70.52% ( 0.2) |
Machida Zelvia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% ( -0.02) | 19.5% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.63% ( -0.03) | 51.37% ( 0.03) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( -0.27) | 33.1% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.3% ( -0.3) | 69.7% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Machida Zelvia 49.69%
Sagan Tosu 25.73%
Draw 24.57%
Machida Zelvia | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.69% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.73% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 19:19:59
Result
Baez
Fritz
Fritz
2 3
6 6
6 6
Result
Griekspoor
Rune
Rune
6 4 6
4 6 3
4 6 3
Result
Humbert
Struff
Struff
5 4
7 6
7 6
Result
Hurkacz
Altmaier
Altmaier
6 77
4 62
4 62
10am
Paul
Cerundolo
Cerundolo
Result
Rublev
Davidovich Fokina
Davidovich Fokina
712 6
610 4
610 4
Result
Seyboth Wild
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
3 3
6 6
6 6
10am
Shapovalov
Zverev
Zverev
Result
Sherif
Rybakina
Rybakina
1 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Krueger
Bejlek
Bejlek
3 1
6 6
6 6
Result
Putintseva
Dolehide
Dolehide
6 6
2 2
2 2
Result
Pavlyuchenkova
Kasatkina
Kasatkina
65 5
77 7
77 7
Result
Vondrousova
Andreeva
Andreeva
5 1
7 6
7 6
Result
Garcia
Paolini
Paolini
3 2
6 6
6 6
Result
Collins
Cristian
Cristian
3 6 6
6 4 1
6 4 1
7.10pm
Montgomery
Sabalenka
Sabalenka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cerezo OsakaCerezo | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
2 | Machida Zelvia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
3 | Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 18 |
4 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
5 | Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 16 |
6 | Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Yokohama F MarinosYokohama | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
8 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 15 |
10 | Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
11 | Kashiwa ReysolReysol | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Jubilo Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
13 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
15 | Tokyo Verdy | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
16 | Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
17 | Kyoto Sanga | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
18 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 7 |
20 | Consadole SapporoConsadole | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 |
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