MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 13:15:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 16, 2024 at 6am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
0 - 2
Cerezo


Horigome (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bueno (48'), Shibayama (64')
Ceara (80')
Shibayama (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawCerezo Osaka
34.6%25.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 39.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.58% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (0.035000000000004 0.04)48.34% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.51% (0.029999999999998 0.03)70.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (0.021999999999998 0.02)62.21% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (0.02000000000001 0.02)23.97% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (0.027000000000001 0.03)58.21% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 34.6%
    Cerezo Osaka 39.86%
    Draw 25.54%
Sagan TosuDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.86%

Head to Head
Jul 8, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Cerezo
Horigome (64'), Togashi (90+3')
Iwasaki (39'), Horigome (79')
Ceara (13')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 5am
Gameweek 4
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 29
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Honda (82')
May 3, 2022 7am
Gameweek 11
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
Jul 24, 2021 11am
Gameweek 22
Sagan Tosu
3-3
Cerezo
Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')
Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cerezo OsakaCerezo10541159619
2Machida Zelvia106131310319
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima9450145917
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe10523147717
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus951398116
6Yokohama F MarinosYokohama94321411315
7FC Tokyo104331715215
8Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka943287115
9Jubilo Iwata104151513213
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol834176113
11Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers94141010013
12Albirex Niigata10334912-312
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa93241212011
14Avispa Fukuoka925289-111
15Tokyo Verdy91621213-19
16Kyoto Sanga10235813-59
17Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki92251011-18
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare101451420-67
19Sagan Tosu92161118-77
20Consadole SapporoConsadole10145920-117
> J1 League Full Table


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