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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
1 - 0
Hiroshima

Wakizaka (56')
Ominami (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vieira (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kawasaki 2-0 Reysol
Sunday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, June 4 at 6am in J1 League

We said: Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Kawasaki have won their last two home league matches, and we think that they will pick up all three points on Sunday when they play host to Sanfrecce, who have lost their previous three competitive away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kawasaki Frontale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kawasaki Frontale.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
45.22% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41) 26.82% (0.168 0.17) 27.96% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 48.8% (-0.334 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-0.502 -0.5)55.82% (0.503 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (-0.413 -0.41)76.94% (0.41199999999999 0.41)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)24.6% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (-0.596 -0.6)59.09% (0.596 0.6)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)35.28% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)72.04% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 45.22%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 27.96%
    Draw 26.82%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.156 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.96%

How you voted: Kawasaki vs Hiroshima

Kawasaki Frontale
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 10.30am
gameweek 29
Kawasaki
4-0
Hiroshima
Ienaga (34', 78'), Wakizaka (59'), Chinen (68' pen.)
Mar 19, 2022 5am
gameweek 5
Hiroshima
0-2
Kawasaki
Nogami (73' og.), Yamane (88')
Aug 21, 2021 11am
gameweek 25
Hiroshima
1-1
Kawasaki
Kashiwa (27')
Damiao (73')
Apr 18, 2021 6am
gameweek 10
Kawasaki
1-1
Hiroshima
Ienaga (38')
Morishima (65')
Imazu (27')
Oct 14, 2020 11am
gameweek 9
Hiroshima
0-2
Kawasaki
Damiao (56'), Mitoma (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382323101326
2Machida Zelvia138231810826
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers137242016423
4FC Tokyo136432420422
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka136341110121
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136252119220
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo135531715220
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima124711911819
9Avispa Fukuoka134721312119
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus136161315-219
11Tokyo Verdy133822018217
12Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki134451915416
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama114431614216
14Kashiwa ReysolReysol123631214-215
15Jubilo Iwata134271820-214
16Albirex Niigata133461420-613
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare132561724-711
18Sagan Tosu133281623-711
19Kyoto Sanga132381121-109
20Consadole SapporoConsadole131571126-158


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