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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Oliveira (18', 80')
Abe (45+7'), Oliveira (58'), Slowik (72'), Trevisan (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yonemoto (25'), Nagai (29'), Nogami (36'), Mateus (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 3-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, June 11 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, June 11 at 8am in J1 League

We said: FC Tokyo 1-2 Nagoya Grampus

Despite the fresh optimism a new manager can bring, it is difficult to see Tokyo having enough quality to stop a Nagoya Grampus side that is firing on all cylinders at the moment. Grampus have one of the best away records in the division for a reason, and we believe they will have too much quality for their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
33.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 28.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 37.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.11% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)60.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)80.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)33.73% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (-0.038 -0.04)70.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)67.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 33.69%
    Nagoya Grampus 37.59%
    Draw 28.7%
FC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.69%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 10.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.7%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 37.59%

How you voted: FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus

FC Tokyo
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Nagoya Grampus
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5am
Oct 29, 2022 7am
Apr 20, 2022 11am
Sep 22, 2021 11am
Gameweek 32
FC Tokyo
1-1
Nagoya Grampus
Adailton (26')
Aoki (42')
Leandro (81')
Swierczok (43')
Apr 3, 2021 6am
Gameweek 7
Nagoya Grampus
0-0
FC Tokyo
Yoshida (49'), Kimoto (90+5')
Watanabe (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382323101326
2Machida Zelvia138231810826
3FC Tokyo136432420422
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers127141713422
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka136341110121
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136252119220
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo135531715220
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima124711911819
9Avispa Fukuoka134721312119
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus136161315-219
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki134451915416
12Tokyo Verdy123721715216
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama114431614216
14Kashiwa ReysolReysol123631214-215
15Jubilo Iwata134271820-214
16Albirex Niigata133461420-613
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare132561724-711
18Sagan Tosu133281623-711
19Kyoto Sanga132381121-109
20Consadole SapporoConsadole131571126-158


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