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Turkey national football team
International Friendly
Nov 19, 2022 at 5pm UK
Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
Czech Republic national football team

Turkey
2 - 1
Czech Republic

Unal (31'), Calhanoglu (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cerny (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Turkey and Czech Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Turkey 2-1 Scotland
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Czech Republic 5-0 Faroe Islands
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Turkey 2-0 Czech Republic

Despite missing two of their most potent attackers, the Czech Republic still boast international nous in midfield and defence, and Chytil's confidence could hardly be higher after announcing himself to the national team with a treble. However, a full-strength Turkey side who have a taste for goals under Kuntz is a different kettle of fish to the Faroe Islands, and we can only envisage the Crescent-Stars ending the year with victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawCzech Republic
47.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.44% (0.0010000000000012 0) 27.41% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)50.75% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)72.64% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)54.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)33.02% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)69.61% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 47.14%
    Czech Republic 27.41%
    Draw 25.43%
TurkeyDrawCzech Republic
1-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 27.41%

How you voted: Turkey vs Czech Republic

Turkey
71.4%
Draw
15.9%
Czech Republic
12.7%
63
Head to Head
Jun 21, 2016 8pm
Group D
Czech Republic
0-2
Turkey

Plasil (36'), Pavelka (39'), Sural (87')
Yilmaz (10'), Tufan (65')
Koybasi (35'), Balta (50')
Oct 10, 2015 7.45pm
Group A
Czech Republic
0-2
Turkey

Krejci (32'), Dockal (34'), Pavelka (46'), Novak (61')
Inan (62' pen.), Calhanoglu (79')
Ozbayrakli (50'), Sen (84')
Oct 10, 2014 7.45pm
Group A
Turkey
1-2
Czech Republic
Bulut (8')
Ozyakup (85')
Sivok (16'), Dockal (58')
rhs 2.0
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