Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Ecuador2 - 0Guatemala
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Chile
Tuesday, November 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, November 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Iceland
Sunday, January 14 at 12am in International Friendlies
Sunday, January 14 at 12am in International Friendlies
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Ecuador 1-0 Guatemala
Ecuador have shown tremendous discipline defensively so far in their World Cup qualifying campaign and have done equally well in close games. In contrast, the Guatemalans are struggling to find consistency throughout a 90-minute contest, which is why we are giving the South Americans the edge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Guatemala |
57.27% ( -0.24) | 25.53% ( 0.21) | 17.19% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.23% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
