Friendlies 1
Jan 14, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Cementos Progreso
Carlos Martinez (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Guatemala 1-1 Iceland
While Iceland will be keen to return to winning ways following back-to-back defeats, we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Guatemala side that has seen their last two friendlies finish all square.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 43.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result |
Guatemala | Draw | Iceland |
43.67% ( -0.15) | 28.22% ( 0.09) | 28.1% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 44.98% ( -0.21) |
39.27% ( -0.28) | 60.72% ( 0.28) |
19.21% ( -0.21) | 80.79% ( 0.22) |
72.36% ( -0.21) | 27.64% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% ( -0.27) | 63.18% ( 0.28) |
62.16% ( -0.11) | 37.84% ( 0.11) |