MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 09:31:59| >> :60:3014:3014:
Iceland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Laugardalsvollur
Liechtenstein national football team

Iceland
4 - 0
Liechtenstein

Sigurdsson (22' pen., 49'), Finnbogason (44'), Arnar Haraldsson (63')
Oskarsson (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Marxer (51'), Sele (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship qualifying clash between Iceland and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Luxembourg
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Bosnia H'vina
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Iceland 2-0 Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein have managed to keep the scores down since their change of manager in June, so we are not expecting the visitors to be on the end of a heavy loss on Monday, but it is very difficult to back anything other than an Iceland win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 91.35%. A draw had a probability of 6.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 1.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.08%) and 4-0 (12.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.

Result
IcelandDrawLiechtenstein
91.35% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 6.88% (-0.027 -0.03) 1.77%
Both teams to score 26.51% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.4% (0.18600000000001 0.19)31.6% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.9% (0.218 0.22)53.1% (-0.215 -0.22)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.94% (0.034000000000006 0.03)4.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.92% (0.10899999999999 0.11)17.08% (-0.105 -0.11)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
27.63% (0.141 0.14)72.37% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.23% (0.046 0.05)95.78% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Iceland 91.33%
    Liechtenstein 1.77%
    Draw 6.88%
IcelandDrawLiechtenstein
3-0 @ 16.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 15.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 12.89%
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 8.26% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.018 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 4.41% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.17% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.67% (0.023 0.02)
7-0 @ 2.02% (0.016 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 91.33%
1-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 6.88%
0-1 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 1.77%

How you voted: Iceland vs Liechtenstein

Iceland
78.2%
Draw
16.4%
Liechtenstein
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 5pm
Oct 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Iceland
4-0
Liechtenstein
Teitur Thordarson (19'), Gudmundsson (35' pen., 79' pen.), Gudjohnsen (89')

Marxer (34'), Frommelt (58')
Marxer (63')
Mar 31, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Liechtenstein
1-4
Iceland
Frick (79')
Mar Saevarsson (12'), Bjarnason (45+1'), Palsson (77'), Mar Sigurjonsson (90+4' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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