Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Finland4 - 0N. Ireland
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Denmark | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 8 | -25 | 0 |
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Slovenia
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Denmark | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 8 | -25 | 0 |
We said: Finland 3-1 Northern Ireland
O'Neil will be demanding that his players finally get over the line against opposition who they will not consider to be of any added quality to themselves. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Finland on home territory, leading us to predict a fairly comfortable win courtesy of goals during the final quarter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Finland | Draw | Northern Ireland |
41.67% ( -1.51) | 26.88% ( -0.15) | 31.46% ( 1.67) |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
