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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | NEC |
54.47% ( -0.03) | 21.17% ( 0.16) | 24.36% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 64.24% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.97% ( -0.89) | 34.03% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.1% ( -1.02) | 55.9% ( 1.03) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.35% ( -0.3) | 12.65% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.2% ( -0.64) | 38.8% ( 0.65) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( -0.57) | 26.46% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.36% ( -0.77) | 61.64% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.47% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
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