Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in KNVB Beker
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: AZ 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
Ajax will be determined to catch PSV again after a harrowing week at the hands of their rivals and could capitalise on AZ's eye potentially being elsewhere. Jansen's job to keep his side's focus firmly on this game and not West Ham will be important, but going to Amsterdam is often a tough task at the best of times, and injuries may scupper their chances. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
61.03% ( 0.03) | 19.98% ( -0.01) | 18.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
