MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 16:20:13| >> :60:1887:1887:
Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Jun 12, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona
Suriname national football team

Mexico
3 - 0
Suriname

Reyes (3'), Martin (40' pen.), Sanchez (90+4')
Araujo (10'), Angulo (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pinas (59'), Mac-Intosch (61')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Mexico and Suriname.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Suriname

Last Game: Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
Wednesday, June 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Suriname win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawSuriname
61.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 22.81% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 15.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 44.64% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.061 0.06)53.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.049999999999997 0.05)74.71% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (0.027000000000001 0.03)16.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07% (0.047000000000004 0.05)46.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.71% (0.036000000000001 0.04)46.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.06% (0.027000000000001 0.03)81.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 61.4%
    Suriname 15.79%
    Draw 22.81%
MexicoDrawSuriname
1-0 @ 13.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 61.4%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 6.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 15.79%

How you voted: Mexico vs Suriname

Mexico
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Suriname
12.5%
8
rhs 2.0
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