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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Ipswich logo

Watford
1 - 2
Ipswich

Asprilla (12')
Kayembe (46'), Issouf Bayo (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hirst (24'), Morsy (80')
Chaplin (39'), Hirst (45'), Luongo (53'), Hutchinson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich kept their first clean sheet in nine matches last time out, but we cannot imagine them making it successive shutouts on Tuesday night. Another one of the division's big hitters arrives at Vicarage Road in midweek, and we feel that Watford will be unable to stop the Ipswich juggernaut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawIpswich Town
44.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.27% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.65% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)67.98% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.8% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)27.68% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)63.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.04%
    Ipswich Town 31.24%
    Draw 24.71%
WatfordDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.24%

How you voted: Watford vs Ipswich

Watford
16.7%
Draw
7.4%
Ipswich Town
75.9%
54
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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