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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Millwall logo

Ipswich
3 - 1
Millwall

Chaplin (5'), Luongo (12'), Broadhead (39')
Luongo (25'), Broadhead (52')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Nisbet (78')
Flemming (37'), Honeyman (46'), De Norre (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Ipswich
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Millwall

Ipswich produced arguably their worst performance of the season at The Hawthorns on Saturday, meaning they will be desperate to put things right in front of their home faithful in this one. Millwall have a tricky quartet of fixtures coming up, and we cannot imagine them picking up any points from their trip to East Anglia on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMillwall
44.03% (1.379 1.38) 25.92% (0.507 0.51) 30.05% (-1.891 -1.89)
Both teams to score 52.72% (-2.521 -2.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-2.879 -2.88)51.32% (2.874 2.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-2.571 -2.57)73.14% (2.565 2.57)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.584 -0.58)23.21% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.858 -0.86)57.1% (0.852 0.85)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-2.744 -2.74)31.34% (2.739 2.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29% (-3.306 -3.31)67.71% (3.301 3.3)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 44.03%
    Millwall 30.05%
    Draw 25.91%
Ipswich TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.62% (1.003 1)
2-1 @ 9% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.614 0.61)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.03%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.802 0.8)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.338 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.378 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.316 -0.32)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.05%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Millwall

Ipswich Town
76.7%
Draw
20.9%
Millwall
2.3%
43
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
1-1
Ipswich
Afobe (15')
Ladapo (54')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Ipswich
0-3
Millwall
Wallace (38'), Afobe (50'), Malone (54')
McNamara (31')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Ipswich
2-3
Millwall
Lankester (2'), Jackson (89')
Ferguson (60' pen.), Cooper (68'), Elliott (76')
Morison (66')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 15
Millwall
3-0
Ipswich
Gregory (26', 51'), Leonard (70')

Pennington (57')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
2-2
Millwall
Waghorn (53', 55')
Carayol (61'), Spence (80'), Gleeson (82'), Waghorn (90')
Cooper (27'), Saville (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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