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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Blackburn logo

Millwall
1 - 2
Blackburn

Harding (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Saturday's 1-0 win was somewhat of a rarity for Blackburn Rovers, who have seen plenty of goals at both ends of the pitch in most of their Championship outings so far this season, and we anticipate another relatively eventful affair on Tuesday with the visitors' back-to-back wins perhaps inspiring a narrow triumph at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
30.55% (1.619 1.62) 24.45% (-0.09 -0.09) 45% (-1.532 -1.53)
Both teams to score 57.85% (1.286 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (1.25 1.25)44.75% (-1.251 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (1.194 1.19)67.11% (-1.195 -1.19)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (1.738 1.74)27.68% (-1.739 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (2.178 2.18)63.23% (-2.18 -2.18)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)20.01% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.238 -0.24)52.2% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 30.55%
    Blackburn Rovers 45%
    Draw 24.44%
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.282 0.28)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.57% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.202 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.172 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.55%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.533 -0.53)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackburn

Millwall
35.3%
Draw
35.3%
Blackburn Rovers
29.4%
34
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall
Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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