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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium of Light
Leeds logo

Sunderland
1 - 0
Leeds

Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United are full of momentum under Daniel Farke and will be keen to avoid any more slip-ups in their pursuit of a top-two place, but a trip to the Stadium of Light is no easy task, and we fancy a rejuvenated Black Cats side to take a share of the spoils in Tuesday's top-six clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
39.55% (-0.299 -0.3) 23.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 36.75% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 62.57% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)39.41% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24% (-0.225 -0.23)61.75% (0.223 0.22)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.229 -0.23)20.22% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-0.37 -0.37)52.53% (0.369 0.37)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.028000000000006 0.03)21.57% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (0.045000000000002 0.05)54.65% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 39.55%
    Leeds United 36.75%
    Draw 23.7%
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.75%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Leeds

Sunderland
22.2%
Draw
17.5%
Leeds United
60.3%
63
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Sunderland
Hernandez (72')
O'Connor (75'), Alioski (83'), Jansson (90')
Berardi (90')
McNair (49')
Honeyman (12'), Kone (70'), McManaman (90')
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leeds

Galloway (36'), Kone (69'), Ndong (82')
Saiz (21'), Dallas (76')
Wiedwald (68')
Jan 4, 2015 1pm
Dec 26, 2006 3pm
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Leeds
0-3
Sunderland

Westlake (16'), Butler (21'), Nicholls (73'), Kelly (90'), Douglas (90')
Miller (28'), Kavanagh (45')
Kavanagh (7'), Miller (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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