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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Birmingham logo

Sunderland
3 - 1
Birmingham

Bellingham (17'), Sanderson (57' og.), Aouchiche (76')
Roberts (39'), Hume (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miyoshi (30')
Laird (18'), James (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City

Sunderland have struggled at the Stadium of Light at points so far this season, but the visit of an out-of-form Birmingham side represents a good chance to collect maximum points. Blues are improving slowly as the squad gets accustomed to Rooney's style of play, although we do not believe that a maiden victory for the new boss is on the cards this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
54.32% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 22.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 22.78% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (-0.11 -0.11)43.91% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.107 -0.11)66.3% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)16.09% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)45.48% (0.101 0.1)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)33.2% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)69.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 54.32%
    Birmingham City 22.78%
    Draw 22.9%
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.32%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.78%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Birmingham

Sunderland
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Birmingham City
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Sunderland
2-1
Birmingham
Hume (45+3'), Diallo (75')
Hall (29')
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 21
Birmingham
1-2
Sunderland
Simms (25'), Diallo (49')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-1
Sunderland
Davis (28'), Boga (44'), Gallagher (54')
N'Doye (52'), Davis (59'), Grounds (87')
Oviedo (84')
Clarke-Salter (47'), Robson (58'), Honeyman (78')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Birmingham
0-3
Sunderland

Thomas (53')
Gomez (77'), Johnson (87'), Wickham (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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