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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
West Brom logo

Birmingham
3 - 1
West Brom

Bacuna (23' pen.), Sanderson (38'), Gardner (87')
Bielik (25'), Longelo (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Swift (5')
Kipre (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although Birmingham have been far more inconsistent than West Brom of late, the manner of their victory on Tuesday even things up. With that in mind, we can only predict a competitive draw between two sides who back themselves to challenge for the playoffs in the long term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
31.93% (1.676 1.68) 27.66% (0.554 0.55) 40.41% (-2.223 -2.22)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.992 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.54% (-1.553 -1.55)57.46% (1.563 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74% (-1.248 -1.25)78.26% (1.255 1.26)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (0.398 0.4)33.17% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (0.434 0.43)69.78% (-0.428 -0.43)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (-1.92 -1.92)27.86% (1.928 1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-2.524 -2.52)63.47% (2.532 2.53)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.92%
    West Bromwich Albion 40.41%
    Draw 27.65%
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.687 0.69)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.439 0.44)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.92%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 9.24% (0.537 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.326 -0.33)
0-2 @ 7.55% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.345 -0.35)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.41%

How you voted: Birmingham vs West Brom

Birmingham City
36.1%
Draw
23.6%
West Bromwich Albion
40.3%
72
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Birmingham
2-0
West Brom
Mejbri (10'), Bielik (52')
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
West Brom
2-3
Birmingham
Wallace (23'), Thomas-Asante (83' pen.)
Hogan (14', 54', 72')
Apr 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
West Brom
Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')

Livermore (75')
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
1-0
Birmingham
Grant (75')
Clarke (72'), Grant (89')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-4
West Brom
Diangana (50'), Clarke (69'), Grant (73' pen.), Tulloch (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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