MX23RW : Saturday, May 4 20:03:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Birmingham logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Birmingham

Tanganga (90')
Leonard (64'), Bryan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City

With both sides painfully aware of how big Saturday's match could be in the fight for survival, we are expecting a hard-fought battle between Millwall and Birmingham. The Lions are enjoying a brilliant run of form under their new management, but we reckon that Blues can earn a point from their trip to the Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
43.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 29.39% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.14% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (0.017000000000003 0.02)54.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.85% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.14%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.022999999999996 0.02)33.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)70.1% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 43.96%
    Birmingham City 29.39%
    Draw 26.64%
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Millwall vs Birmingham

Millwall
53.7%
Draw
19.5%
Birmingham City
26.8%
41
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
1-1
Millwall
Stansfield (53')
Bacuna (46')
Nisbet (6')
Harding (57'), Norton-Cuffy (59')
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Birmingham
2-2
Millwall
Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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