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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Sunderland

Ipswich
2 - 1
Sunderland

Jackson (33'), Chaplin (75')
Clarke (24'), Taylor (52'), Edmundson (54'), Burns (60'), Sarmiento (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (26')
Ba (55'), Hume (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Ipswich
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Sunderland

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle
Saturday, January 6 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Sunderland

 Sunderland showed against Newcastle that they are far from the finished article under Beale and this is a fixture that they could probably do without after such a humbling. Despite Ipswich's recent form, the home side could have enough about them to get over the line in this one, kick-starting their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
43.17% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06) 23.69% (-0.035 -0.04) 33.14% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.74% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.211 0.21)40.16% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (0.217 0.22)62.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.064999999999998 0.06)18.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (0.102 0.1)50.42% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.158 0.16)23.86% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.222 0.22)58.04% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 43.17%
    Sunderland 33.14%
    Draw 23.68%
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 43.17%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.14%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Sunderland

Ipswich Town
69.6%
Draw
10.9%
Sunderland
19.6%
46
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 1
Sunderland
1-2
Ipswich
Neill (86')
Mowbray (0'), Hume (32'), Ballard (80')
Hume (72')
Broadhead (45+1'), Hirst (53')
McKenna (33'), Burns (35'), Hladky (56'), Morsy (62')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Ipswich
1-1
Sunderland
Norwood (45+1')
Burns (68')
Broadhead (50')
Winchester (52'), Flanagan (60'), Stewart (62')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Sunderland
2-0
Ipswich
O'Nien (85'), McGeady (90+3' pen.)
Evans (20'), Gooch (34'), Stewart (64'), Winchester (81')

Celina (55')
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Ipswich
0-1
Sunderland

Ward (70'), Dozzell (82')
Jackson (10')
Wyke (45+1')
Winchester (40')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
2-1
Ipswich
Wyke (8'), Leadbitter (84' pen.)
Leadbitter (78'), Hume (82')
Lankester (38')
McGuinness (84')
Dozzell (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227
> Championship Full Table


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