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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Millwall

Goutas (78')
Meite (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Millwall

After a morale-boosting draw last time out, Edwards will hope that his Millwall side can now kick on. However, we feel that Cardiff will get back to winning ways in front of their own supporters, possibly having to come from behind to do so. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
40.13% (-0.064 -0.06) 27.7% (-0.023 -0.02) 32.18% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (0.102 0.1)57.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)78.33% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)63.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (0.116 0.12)33.04% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (0.126 0.13)69.64% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 40.12%
    Millwall 32.17%
    Draw 27.69%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.17%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Millwall
2-1
Cardiff
Wallace (73'), Bennett (82')
Wallace (53')
Bagan (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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