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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Cardiff City logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Cardiff

Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Millwall
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City

With both sides struggling for form, we struggle to see one outclassing the other on Saturday and instead opt for a low-scoring draw at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCardiff City
56.13% (0.155 0.16) 25.64% (-0.165 -0.16) 18.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.6% (0.411 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (0.54000000000001 0.54)59.72% (-0.542 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (0.413 0.41)80.02% (-0.413 -0.41)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.28700000000001 0.29)21.39% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (0.441 0.44)54.38% (-0.441 -0.44)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (0.33 0.33)47.07% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (0.25 0.25)82.54% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 56.12%
    Cardiff City 18.23%
    Draw 25.64%
MillwallDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 15.52% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.12%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.07% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.41% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Millwall vs Cardiff

Millwall
60.7%
Draw
21.4%
Cardiff City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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