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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Watford logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Watford

Wharton (3')
Garrett (36'), Moran (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rajovic (83'), Healey (87')
Hoedt (65'), Rajovic (81'), Andrews (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Watford

The inconsistency of both teams make this a difficult one to predict. We fancy Watford to make an impression after their recent demolition job of Preston, yet it would not be Blackburn-like if they did not respond to a defeat by getting back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
42.67% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 25.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.99% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.029999999999994 0.03)48.13% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.028000000000002 0.03)70.29% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.41% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.042000000000002 0.04)64.16% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.67%
    Watford 31.99%
    Draw 25.33%
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.99%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Watford

Blackburn Rovers
47.8%
Draw
21.7%
Watford
30.4%
23
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 4
Watford
0-1
Blackburn

Hoedt (24'), Andrews (69'), Louza (69')
Hedges (72')
Hyam (63'), Rankin-Costello (77')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Watford
1-1
Blackburn
Hoedt (74')
Dack (24')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Blackburn
2-0
Watford
Hedges (38'), Hyam (82')
Feb 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Blackburn
2-3
Watford
Elliott (43'), Brereton (82')
Rothwell (34')
Pedro (25'), Sarr (38'), Sema (60')
Oct 21, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
3-1
Blackburn
Pedro (13'), Cleverley (17'), Lenihan (49' og.)
Kabasele (22'), Ngakia (75'), Pedro (84')
Brereton (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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