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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
46.9% | 25.46% | 27.64% |
Both teams to score 52.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% | 50.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% | 72.6% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.38% | 21.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.27% | 54.73% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.18% | 32.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% | 69.38% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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