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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
34.2% | 23.96% | 41.84% |
Both teams to score 61.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.87% | 41.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.47% | 63.53% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% | 23.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.16% | 57.84% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.09% | 19.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.96% | 52.03% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 7.89% 1-0 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-1 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 4.76% 2-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |