Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Aug 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos1 - 1Athletico PR
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
51.23% ( 2.15) | 26.8% ( -1.23) | 21.97% ( -0.92) |
Both teams to score 43.64% ( 2.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.19% ( 3.2) | 59.81% ( -3.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.91% ( 2.38) | 80.09% ( -2.38) |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.47% ( 2.43) | 23.53% ( -2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.42% ( 3.4) | 57.58% ( -3.4) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.06% ( 0.92) | 42.94% ( -0.92) |