MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 18:32:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Instituto

Gomez (81')
Gomez (9'), Fernandez (21'), Garcia (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mainero (28'), Franco (43'), Cuello (65')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Banfield 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Tuesday, March 12 at 12.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawInstituto
53.23% (-0.613 -0.61) 27.17% (0.519 0.52) 19.6% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 39.89% (-1.083 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.91% (-1.493 -1.49)63.09% (1.497 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.47% (-1.092 -1.09)82.53% (1.098 1.1)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.923 -0.92)24.08% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (-1.333 -1.33)58.36% (1.337 1.34)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.55% (-0.775 -0.77)47.46% (0.78 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.17% (-0.585 -0.59)82.83% (0.58999999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 53.22%
    Instituto 19.6%
    Draw 27.16%
Velez SarsfieldDrawInstituto
1-0 @ 16.26% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 11.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 53.22%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 11.42% (0.62 0.62)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.284 0.28)
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 19.6%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 1.30am
Apr 12, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!